Nov. 14 (CandyPulse) — The company behind Facebook and Instagram is trying out prediction markets, with a twist: there's no money involved. Meta is testing an app called "Takes" in which staff predict outcomes using points, according to a Wall Street Journal report.
Key takeaways
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| App name | Takes (earlier internal name: Arena) |
| Who can use it | Meta employees only, for now |
| What you bet | "Cred" points, not real money |
| How it works | Earn points for correct predictions, lose them for wrong ones |
| Public launch | Not announced |
| Source | Wall Street Journal report |
A prediction market lets people back their view on a yes-or-no question: will this happen by this date? The combined bets produce a percentage that works as a crowd forecast. Because people commit something of value, these markets are often more accurate than polls.
Real-money platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have grown quickly, and we've cited their odds ourselves, for example on Fed rate decisions.
One of the test questions reported shows the flavour: "Will former Apple CEO Tim Cook become the next CEO of NVIDIA?" It's a timely one, given Nvidia's CEO search.
Meta's apps reach billions of people. If a version of Takes ever appeared inside Facebook, Instagram or WhatsApp, prediction markets would go from a niche to something your relatives use. That's still an "if": the app is internal and may never launch.
It also shows where the industry is heading. Prediction markets are spreading across finance and crypto, including at Hyperliquid, which has been adding them alongside its trading products.
Many leading prediction markets settle in stablecoins on blockchains. Meta's test uses neither, so this isn't a crypto product today. But a mainstream audience getting used to the idea would help the on-chain versions too. And points-based rewards are familiar to our readers: it's how Pulse rewards work on this site.
Whether Takes leaves internal testing, whether Meta ever adds real money, and how regulators respond as more large companies try the format. New to terms like "event contract" or "stablecoin"? See our crypto glossary.
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Disclaimer: This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Market figures move quickly and different data providers can show slightly different numbers. Always do your own research before making any investment decision.
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